Combat Edge Intelligence

Luan Duarte vs Samy Schiavo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Luan Duarte
br

Luan Duarte

“Mao de Pedra”

14-12-0LightweightCWFC

1459Average
Samy Schiavo
fr

Samy Schiavo

“The Dog”

10-6-0BantamweightUFC

1462Average

Tale of the tape

14-12-0Record10-6-0
LightweightDivisionBantamweight
5'9"Height5'7"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight135 lbs
Tata Fight TeamTeamBushido Academie

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Luan DuarteNow 1459
If they win+16→ 1475
If they lose-16→ 1443
Samy SchiavoNow 1462
If they win+16→ 1478
If they lose-16→ 1446

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1515 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1512 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.68
TBD
Strike accuracy
35%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.62
TBD
Strike defense
38%
TBD
Takedown avg.
0.94
TBD
Takedown accuracy
50%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.94

Trajectory

Luan DuarteSamy Schiavo
1450150020072008200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

12 (86%)
KO/TKO
4 (40%)
0 (0%)
Submission
5 (50%)
2 (14%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Luan Duarte68%
Samy Schiavo 32%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Luan Duarte a 68% favorite over Samy Schiavo in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Samy Schiavo's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1459 vs 1462), separated by just 3 points.

Luan Duarte enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Samy Schiavo enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Luan Duarte finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Samy Schiavo 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.