Luan Lacerda vs Shane Campbell
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-4-0Record24-8-0
BantamweightDivisionLightweight
5'7"Height6'0"
71"Reach71,0"
135 lbsWeight155 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamShaolin Muay Thai
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
If they win+12→ 1663
If they lose-12→ 1639
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1549 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Luan LacerdaShane Campbell
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luan Lacerda57%
Shane Campbell 43%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Luan Lacerda a 57% favorite over Shane Campbell in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1651), separated by just 1 points.
Luan Lacerda finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Shane Campbell 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.