Combat Edge Intelligence

Luan Lacerda vs Timmy Cuamba

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Timmy Cuamba
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Timmy Cuamba

“Twilight Timmy”

10-4-0FeatherweightUFC

1649Solid

Tale of the tape

13-4-0Record10-4-0
BantamweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'7"Height5'8"
71"Reach71"
135 lbsWeight145 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamXtreme Couture

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Luan LacerdaNow 1652
If they win+16→ 1668
If they lose-16→ 1636
Timmy CuambaNow 1649
If they win+16→ 1665
If they lose-16→ 1633

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1563 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

4.52
Sig. strikes / min
2.77
44%
Strike accuracy
44%
7.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.58
48%
Strike defense
58%
1.26
Takedown avg.
1.31
25%
Takedown accuracy
32%
75%
Takedown defense
72%
0.63
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Luan LacerdaTimmy Cuamba
1650202420252026

Win method breakdown

0 (0%)
KO/TKO
5 (50%)
11 (85%)
Submission
0 (0%)
2 (15%)
Decision
5 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Luan Lacerda and Timmy Cuamba within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1652 vs 1649), separated by just 3 points.

Luan Lacerda finishes 85% of wins inside the distance, Timmy Cuamba 50%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.