Luana Pinheiro vs Sam Hughes
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-5-0Record11-7-0
StrawweightDivisionStrawweight
5'4"Height5'5"
62"Reach64"
115 lbsWeight115 lbs
Nova UniaoTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1622
If they lose-16→ 1590
If they win+16→ 1621
If they lose-16→ 1589
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1579 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1636 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Luana PinheiroSam Hughes
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Sam Hughes60%
Luana Pinheiro 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Sam Hughes a 60% favorite over Luana Pinheiro in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Luana Pinheiro's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1606 vs 1605), separated by just 1 points.
Luana Pinheiro enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Luana Pinheiro finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Sam Hughes 55%.
Sam Hughes carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.