Luana Santos vs Melissa Croden
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record8-3-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'10"
67"Reach69"
139 lbsWeight135 lbs
011 MMATeamRaven House MMA
What's at stake
Luana Santos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +13 while a loss costs more — Melissa Croden carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+13→ 1705
If they lose-19→ 1673
If they win+19→ 1642
If they lose-13→ 1610
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1540 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Luana SantosMelissa Croden
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luana Santos79%
Melissa Croden 21%Elo baseline: 60%
The Combat Edge model makes Luana Santos a 79% favorite over Melissa Croden in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (60%).
Luana Santos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1692 to 1623, a 69-point edge.
Luana Santos enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Luana Santos finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Melissa Croden 88%.
Luana Santos and Melissa Croden share 1 common opponent: Tainara Lisboa.
Melissa Croden carries a 2-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.