Luana Santos vs Tainara Lisboa
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
11-2-0Record7-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'6"Height5'7"
67"Reach67"
139 lbsWeight134 lbs
What's at stake
Luana Santos is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Tainara Lisboa carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1703
If they lose-21→ 1671
If they win+21→ 1609
If they lose-11→ 1577
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1592 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Luana SantosTainara Lisboa
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luana Santos81%
Tainara Lisboa 19%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Luana Santos a 81% favorite over Tainara Lisboa in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Luana Santos holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1692 to 1588, a 104-point edge.
Luana Santos enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Tainara Lisboa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Luana Santos finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Tainara Lisboa 86%.
Luana Santos and Tainara Lisboa share 1 common opponent: Melissa Croden.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.