Combat Edge Intelligence

Luca Borando vs Mounir Lazzez

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

9-1-0Record11-3-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
-Reach76"
161 lbsWeight170 lbs
Aurora MMATeamTeam Nogueira Dubai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Luca BorandoNow 1656
If they win+16→ 1672
If they lose-16→ 1640
Mounir LazzezNow 1657
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1492 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1577 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
7.49
TBD
Strike accuracy
55%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.42
TBD
Strike defense
53%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.80
TBD
Takedown accuracy
57%
TBD
Takedown defense
71%
TBD
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Luca BorandoMounir Lazzez
1550160016501700202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

7 (78%)
KO/TKO
8 (73%)
1 (11%)
Submission
0 (0%)
1 (11%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Luca Borando83%
Mounir Lazzez 17%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Luca Borando a 83% favorite over Mounir Lazzez in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mounir Lazzez's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1656 vs 1657), separated by just 1 points.

Luca Borando enters on a 5-fight win streak.

Luca Borando finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Mounir Lazzez 73%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.