Combat Edge Intelligence

Luca Poclit vs Mike Graves

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

10-3-0Record11-2-2
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height5'10"
73"Reach71"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamAmerican Top Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Luca PoclitNow 1656
If they win+16→ 1672
If they lose-16→ 1640
Mike GravesNow 1657
If they win+16→ 1673
If they lose-16→ 1641

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1544 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1570 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
1.25
TBD
Strike accuracy
54%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.47
TBD
Strike defense
59%
TBD
Takedown avg.
4.80
TBD
Takedown accuracy
0%
TBD
Takedown defense
67%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.40

Trajectory

Luca PoclitMike Graves
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (10%)
KO/TKO
5 (45%)
6 (60%)
Submission
3 (27%)
3 (30%)
Decision
3 (27%)

Combat Edge model read

Mike Graves73%
Luca Poclit 27%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mike Graves a 73% favorite over Luca Poclit in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1656 vs 1657), separated by just 1 points.

Luca Poclit enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Luca Poclit finishes 70% of wins inside the distance, Mike Graves 73%.

Luca Poclit carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.