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Combat Edge Intelligence

Lucas Almeida vs Vinicius Sacchelli Cenci

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

9-2-0Record10-2-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height6'1"
74.5"ReachTBD
150 lbsWeight154 lbs
Brazilian TKO· 1643 avg Elo · 6 ratedTeamBrazilian TKO· 1643 avg Elo · 6 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lucas AlmeidaNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623
Vinicius Sacchelli CenciNow 1639
If they win+16→ 1655
If they lose-16→ 1623

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1508 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1531 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.90
Not available
Strike accuracy
48%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.69
Not available
Strike defense
62%
Not available
Takedown avg.
1.61
Not available
Takedown accuracy
50%
Not available
Takedown defense
0%
Not available
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Lucas AlmeidaVinicius Sacchelli Cenci
1600165020222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (22%)
KO/TKO
2 (20%)
7 (78%)
Submission
7 (70%)
0 (0%)
Decision
1 (10%)

Combat Edge model read

Lucas Almeida54%
Vinicius Sacchelli Cenci 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Almeida a 54% favorite over Vinicius Sacchelli Cenci in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1639 vs 1639), separated by just 0 points.

Lucas Almeida finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Vinicius Sacchelli Cenci 90%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.