Lucas Silva vs Nathan Jones
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
5-6-0Record17-13-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'0"
-Reach73"
177 lbsWeight170 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1552
If they lose-24→ 1504
If they win+12→ 1541
If they lose-12→ 1517
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1501 · 7 fightsPre-fight Elo1519 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Lucas SilvaNathan Jones
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Nathan Jones52%
Lucas Silva 48%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Nathan Jones a 52% favorite over Lucas Silva in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1528 vs 1529), separated by just 1 points.
Lucas Silva finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Nathan Jones 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.