Combat Edge Intelligence

Lucas Alexander vs Nashkho Galaev

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-5-0Record13-10-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'8"
73"Reach69"
148 lbsWeight146 lbs
Fusion X-Cel Performance· 1620 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamFight Club Berkut· 1661 avg Elo · 7 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lucas AlexanderNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560
Nashkho GalaevNow 1574
If they win+16→ 1590
If they lose-16→ 1558

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.23
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
55%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
71%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
57%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Lucas AlexanderNashkho Galaev
155016002023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
10 (77%)
0 (0%)
Submission
0 (0%)
5 (63%)
Decision
3 (23%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Lucas Alexander and Nashkho Galaev within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1576 vs 1574), separated by just 2 points.

Lucas Alexander enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Lucas Alexander finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Nashkho Galaev 77%.

Lucas Alexander carries a 4-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.