Lucas Alexander vs Roberto Romero
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-5-0Record8-5-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'7"
73"Reach70"
148 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fusion X-Cel PerformanceTeamTeam Oyama
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Lucas AlexanderRoberto Romero
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Roberto Romero59%
Lucas Alexander 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Roberto Romero a 59% favorite over Lucas Alexander in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lucas Alexander's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1576 vs 1576), separated by just 0 points.
Lucas Alexander enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Roberto Romero enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Lucas Alexander finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Roberto Romero 63%.
Lucas Alexander carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.