Lucas Alexander vs Stephen Bass
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-5-0Record11-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'9"
73"ReachTBD
148 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fusion X-Cel PerformanceTeamMad House Gym
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560
If they win+16→ 1590
If they lose-16→ 1558
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Lucas AlexanderStephen Bass
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lucas Alexander59%
Stephen Bass 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Alexander a 59% favorite over Stephen Bass in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1576 vs 1574), separated by just 2 points.
Lucas Alexander enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Lucas Alexander finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Stephen Bass 55%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.