Lucas Alexander vs Steven Peterson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
8-5-0Record19-11-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'9"
73"Reach70"
148 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fusion X-Cel PerformanceTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Steven Peterson is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Lucas Alexander carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1594
If they lose-14→ 1562
If they win+11→ 1620
If they lose-13→ 1596
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1625 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Lucas AlexanderSteven Peterson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Steven Peterson52%
Lucas Alexander 48%Elo baseline: 55%
The Combat Edge model makes Steven Peterson a 52% favorite over Lucas Alexander in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (55%).
Steven Peterson holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1609 to 1576, a 33-point edge.
Lucas Alexander enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Steven Peterson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Lucas Alexander finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Steven Peterson 68%.
Lucas Alexander carries a 3-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.