Combat Edge Intelligence

Lucas Alexander vs Tetsuya Seki

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

8-5-0Record15-10-1
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
5'11"Height5'10"
73"ReachTBD
148 lbsWeight145 lbs
Fusion X-Cel Performance· 1620 avg Elo · 3 ratedTeamSonic Squad

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lucas AlexanderNow 1576
If they win+16→ 1592
If they lose-16→ 1560
Tetsuya SekiNow 1576
If they win+12→ 1588
If they lose-12→ 1564

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1547 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.23
Sig. strikes / min
0
55%
Strike accuracy
TBD
1.83
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
71%
Strike defense
TBD
0
Takedown avg.
TBD
0%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
57%
Takedown defense
TBD
0
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Lucas AlexanderTetsuya Seki
155016002022202320242025

Win method breakdown

3 (38%)
KO/TKO
8 (53%)
0 (0%)
Submission
2 (13%)
5 (63%)
Decision
5 (33%)

Combat Edge model read

Lucas Alexander51%
Tetsuya Seki 49%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Alexander a 51% favorite over Tetsuya Seki in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1576 vs 1576), separated by just 0 points.

Lucas Alexander enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Lucas Alexander finishes 38% of wins inside the distance, Tetsuya Seki 67%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.