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Combat Edge Intelligence

Lucas Almeida vs Ryan Hall

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryan Hall
us

Ryan Hall

“The Wizard”

9-2-0FeatherweightUFC

1665Good

Tale of the tape

15-5-0Record9-2-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'10"
71"Reach70"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team KioshiTeam50-50 BJJ

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lucas AlmeidaNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
Ryan HallNow 1665
If they win+16→ 1681
If they lose-16→ 1649

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1623 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1580 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.94
Sig. strikes / min
2.38
40%
Strike accuracy
50%
5.04
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.33
45%
Strike defense
66%
0
Takedown avg.
0.22
0%
Takedown accuracy
9%
54%
Takedown defense
0%
0
Submission avg.
2.22

Trajectory

Lucas AlmeidaRyan Hall
165017002019202020212022202320242025

Win method breakdown

9 (60%)
KO/TKO
2 (22%)
5 (33%)
Submission
3 (33%)
1 (7%)
Decision
4 (44%)

Combat Edge model read

Lucas Almeida68%
Ryan Hall 32%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Almeida a 68% favorite over Ryan Hall in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Ryan Hall's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1665), separated by just 1 points.

Lucas Almeida finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Hall 56%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.