Lucas Almeida vs Tommy Lee
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
15-5-0Record25-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'7"
71"ReachTBD
145 lbsWeight143 lbs
Team KioshiTeamGilbert Grappling
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1667
If they lose-16→ 1635
If they win+12→ 1662
If they lose-12→ 1638
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1616 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1492 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Lucas AlmeidaTommy Lee
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lucas Almeida60%
Tommy Lee 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Almeida a 60% favorite over Tommy Lee in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1651 vs 1650), separated by just 1 points.
Lucas Almeida enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Tommy Lee enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Lucas Almeida finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Tommy Lee 42%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.