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Combat Edge Intelligence

Lucas Almeida vs Tyler Diamond

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

15-5-0Record14-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'7"
71"Reach69"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Team KioshiTeamTeam Alpha Male· 1645 avg Elo · 20 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lucas AlmeidaNow 1664
If they win+16→ 1680
If they lose-16→ 1648
Tyler DiamondNow 1663
If they win+16→ 1679
If they lose-16→ 1647

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1623 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1593 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

4.94
Sig. strikes / min
3.40
40%
Strike accuracy
48%
5.04
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.53
45%
Strike defense
45%
0
Takedown avg.
3
0%
Takedown accuracy
75%
54%
Takedown defense
70%
0
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Lucas AlmeidaTyler Diamond
1650170020242025

Win method breakdown

9 (60%)
KO/TKO
5 (36%)
5 (33%)
Submission
2 (14%)
1 (7%)
Decision
7 (50%)

Combat Edge model read

Lucas Almeida63%
Tyler Diamond 37%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Almeida a 63% favorite over Tyler Diamond in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1664 vs 1663), separated by just 1 points.

Lucas Almeida finishes 93% of wins inside the distance, Tyler Diamond 50%.

Lucas Almeida carries a 2-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.