Lucas Corbage vs Mike Budnik
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
13-5-0Record14-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'8"Height5'9"
-ReachTBD
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Nova Uniao ArgentinaTeamTriton Fight Center
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1631
If they lose-16→ 1599
If they win+16→ 1632
If they lose-16→ 1600
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1536 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1500 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Lucas CorbageMike Budnik
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lucas Corbage71%
Mike Budnik 29%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Corbage a 71% favorite over Mike Budnik in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Mike Budnik's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1615 vs 1616), separated by just 1 points.
Mike Budnik enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Lucas Corbage finishes 69% of wins inside the distance, Mike Budnik 79%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.