AdvertisementRemove ads — go Premium
Combat Edge Intelligence

Lucas Cortes vs Mike Massenzio

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Lucas Cortes
us

Lucas Cortes

“Prodigy”

3-2-0MiddleweightCFFC

1517Average

Tale of the tape

3-2-0Record13-9-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'10"Height6'2"
75"ReachTBD
180 lbsWeight185 lbs
American Top TeamTeamTeam Bombsquad

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lucas CortesNow 1517
If they win+23→ 1540
If they lose-25→ 1492
Mike MassenzioNow 1509
If they win+12→ 1521
If they lose-12→ 1497

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1501 · 5 fightsPre-fight Elo1571 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
2.08
Not available
Strike accuracy
45%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.59
Not available
Strike defense
54%
Not available
Takedown avg.
2.74
Not available
Takedown accuracy
24%
Not available
Takedown defense
50%
Not available
Submission avg.
1.37

Trajectory

Lucas CortesMike Massenzio
15001550160016502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

1 (33%)
KO/TKO
2 (15%)
2 (67%)
Submission
6 (46%)
0 (0%)
Decision
5 (38%)

Combat Edge model read

Mike Massenzio54%
Lucas Cortes 46%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Mike Massenzio a 54% favorite over Lucas Cortes in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lucas Cortes's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1517 vs 1509), separated by just 8 points.

Mike Massenzio enters on a 6-fight loss streak.

Lucas Cortes finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mike Massenzio 62%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.