Combat Edge Intelligence

Lucas Gabriel vs Mike Pyle

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Mike Pyle
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Mike Pyle

“Quicksand”

27-14-1WelterweightUFC

1674Good

Tale of the tape

11-1-0Record27-14-1
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'0"
74"Reach74,0"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
Nova Uniao PhuketTeamSyndicate MMA

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lucas GabrielNow 1675
If they win+16→ 1691
If they lose-16→ 1659
Mike PyleNow 1674
If they win+12→ 1686
If they lose-12→ 1662

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1668 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.74
TBD
Strike accuracy
46%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.84
TBD
Strike defense
61%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.80
TBD
Takedown accuracy
36%
TBD
Takedown defense
70%
TBD
Submission avg.
1.54

Trajectory

Lucas GabrielMike Pyle
1650170020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
7 (26%)
4 (36%)
Submission
16 (59%)
5 (45%)
Decision
4 (15%)

Combat Edge model read

Lucas Gabriel70%
Mike Pyle 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Gabriel a 70% favorite over Mike Pyle in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1675 vs 1674), separated by just 1 points.

Lucas Gabriel enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Mike Pyle enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Lucas Gabriel finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Mike Pyle 85%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.