Combat Edge Intelligence

Lucas Gabriel vs Sean Clancy Jr.

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

11-1-0Record8-0-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height6'2"
74"Reach-
170 lbsWeight170 lbs

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lucas GabrielNow 1675
If they win+16→ 1691
If they lose-16→ 1659
Sean Clancy Jr.Now 1674
If they win+24→ 1698
If they lose-24→ 1650

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1518 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1496 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
TBD
Strike accuracy
TBD
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
TBD
Strike defense
TBD
TBD
Takedown avg.
TBD
TBD
Takedown accuracy
TBD
TBD
Takedown defense
TBD
TBD
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Lucas GabrielSean Clancy Jr.
155016001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

2 (18%)
KO/TKO
5 (63%)
4 (36%)
Submission
3 (38%)
5 (45%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Lucas Gabriel and Sean Clancy Jr. within a point of even.

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1675 vs 1674), separated by just 1 points.

Lucas Gabriel enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Sean Clancy Jr. enters on a 8-fight win streak.

Lucas Gabriel finishes 55% of wins inside the distance, Sean Clancy Jr. 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.