Lucas Martins vs Patryk Kaczmarczyk
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-7-0Record14-3-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'8"
TBDReach71"
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1691
If they lose-12→ 1667
If they win+16→ 1694
If they lose-16→ 1662
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1583 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Lucas MartinsPatryk Kaczmarczyk
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Patryk Kaczmarczyk66%
Lucas Martins 34%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Patryk Kaczmarczyk a 66% favorite over Lucas Martins in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lucas Martins's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1679 vs 1678), separated by just 1 points.
Patryk Kaczmarczyk enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Lucas Martins finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Patryk Kaczmarczyk 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.