Lucas Martins vs Rob Whiteford
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
22-7-0Record17-5-0
FeatherweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'0"Height5'9"
TBDReach69.00
145 lbsWeight145 lbs
Capital da LutaTeamDinky Ninjas
What's at stake
Lucas Martins is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +7 while a loss costs more — Rob Whiteford carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+7→ 1686
If they lose-17→ 1662
If they win+35→ 1544
If they lose-13→ 1496
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1538 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1599 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Lucas MartinsRob Whiteford
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lucas Martins78%
Rob Whiteford 22%Elo baseline: 73%
The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Martins a 78% favorite over Rob Whiteford in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (73%).
Lucas Martins holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1679 to 1509, a 170-point edge.
Rob Whiteford enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Lucas Martins finishes 86% of wins inside the distance, Rob Whiteford 53%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.