Lucas Rocha vs Ronaldo Rodríguez
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
18-2-0Record17-3-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'2"Height5'7"
64"Reach65"
125 lbsWeight125 lbs
Renovacao Coari Team· 1671 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamPrime Combat Academy
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1712
If they lose-16→ 1680
If they win+16→ 1711
If they lose-16→ 1679
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1535 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Lucas RochaRonaldo Rodríguez
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lucas Rocha60%
Ronaldo Rodríguez 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Lucas Rocha a 60% favorite over Ronaldo Rodríguez in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1696 vs 1695), separated by just 1 points.
Lucas Rocha finishes 78% of wins inside the distance, Ronaldo Rodríguez 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.