Combat Edge Intelligence

Lucero Acosta vs Raiane Vinuto

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

6-2-0Record5-1-0
FlyweightDivisionFlyweight
5'6"Height5'5"
69"Reach66.5"
126 lbsWeight117 lbs
Team Loba AcostaTeamMSP· 1608 avg Elo · 3 rated

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lucero AcostaNow 1593
If they win+24→ 1617
If they lose-24→ 1569
Raiane VinutoNow 1594
If they win+24→ 1618
If they lose-24→ 1570

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1497 · 8 fightsPre-fight Elo1501 · 6 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
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Strike accuracy
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Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
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Strike defense
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Takedown avg.
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Takedown accuracy
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Takedown defense
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Submission avg.
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Trajectory

Lucero AcostaRaiane Vinuto
150015501600202320242025

Win method breakdown

2 (33%)
KO/TKO
1 (20%)
1 (17%)
Submission
2 (40%)
3 (50%)
Decision
2 (40%)

Combat Edge model read

Raiane Vinuto61%
Lucero Acosta 39%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Raiane Vinuto a 61% favorite over Lucero Acosta in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1593 vs 1594), separated by just 1 points.

Lucero Acosta enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Raiane Vinuto enters on a 4-fight win streak.

Lucero Acosta finishes 50% of wins inside the distance, Raiane Vinuto 60%.

Lucero Acosta carries a 3-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.