Lucia Szabová vs Rin Nakai
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-0-0Record27-2-1
BantamweightDivisionFlyweight
5'7"Height5'1"
-Reach36,0"
136 lbsWeight125 lbs
Hanuman Gym BratislavaTeamShooto Dojo Shikoku
What's at stake
Rin Nakai is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Lucia Szabová carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+18→ 1745
If they lose-14→ 1713
If they win+11→ 1776
If they lose-13→ 1752
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1520 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1506 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Lucia SzabováRin Nakai
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Lucia Szabová67%
Rin Nakai 33%Elo baseline: 45%
The Combat Edge model makes Lucia Szabová a 67% favorite over Rin Nakai in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Rin Nakai's way (45%).
Rin Nakai holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1765 to 1727, a 38-point edge.
Lucia Szabová enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Rin Nakai enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Lucia Szabová finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Rin Nakai 78%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.