Combat Edge Intelligence

Lucia Szabová vs Ronda Rousey

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

12-0-0Record13-2-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'7"Height5'6"
-Reach68"
136 lbsWeight135 lbs
Hanuman Gym BratislavaTeamTeam Hayastan

What's at stake

Ronda Rousey is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Lucia Szabová carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Lucia SzabováNow 1726
If they win+17→ 1743
If they lose-15→ 1711
Ronda RouseyNow 1751
If they win+15→ 1766
If they lose-17→ 1734

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1519 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1649 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

Not available
Sig. strikes / min
4.17
Not available
Strike accuracy
53%
Not available
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
4.14
Not available
Strike defense
44%
Not available
Takedown avg.
6.26
Not available
Takedown accuracy
68%
Not available
Takedown defense
50%
Not available
Submission avg.
4.82

Trajectory

Lucia SzabováRonda Rousey
16501700175020252026

Win method breakdown

4 (33%)
KO/TKO
3 (23%)
5 (42%)
Submission
10 (77%)
3 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Ronda Rousey70%
Lucia Szabová 30%Elo baseline: 54%

The Combat Edge model makes Ronda Rousey a 70% favorite over Lucia Szabová in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (54%).

Ronda Rousey holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1751 to 1726, a 25-point edge.

Lucia Szabová enters on a 10-fight win streak.

Lucia Szabová finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Ronda Rousey 100%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.