Luciano Pereira vs Michael McDonald
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-1-0Record19-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'8"
63"Reach70,0"
135 lbsWeight136 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1751
If they lose-16→ 1719
If they win+16→ 1752
If they lose-16→ 1720
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1503 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1656 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Luciano PereiraMichael McDonald
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luciano Pereira70%
Michael McDonald 30%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Luciano Pereira a 70% favorite over Michael McDonald in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Michael McDonald's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1735 vs 1736), separated by just 1 points.
Luciano Pereira enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Michael McDonald enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Luciano Pereira finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Michael McDonald 84%.
Michael McDonald carries a 7-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.