Luciano Pereira vs Rafael Estevam
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
16-1-0Record14-1-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'3"Height5'8"
63"Reach69"
135 lbsWeight128 lbs
Combate VilamirTeamNova Uniao
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1751
If they lose-16→ 1719
If they win+16→ 1751
If they lose-16→ 1719
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1502 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1592 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Luciano PereiraRafael Estevam
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Rafael Estevam59%
Luciano Pereira 41%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Rafael Estevam a 59% favorite over Luciano Pereira in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Luciano Pereira's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1735 vs 1735), separated by just 0 points.
Luciano Pereira enters on a 3-fight win streak.
Luciano Pereira finishes 88% of wins inside the distance, Rafael Estevam 50%.
Rafael Estevam carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.