Combat Edge Intelligence

Lucie Pudilová vs Tainara Lisboa

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

17-12-0Record7-4-0
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'7"
67"Reach67"
135 lbsWeight134 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamDamas 013

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lucie PudilováNow 1584
If they win+12→ 1596
If they lose-12→ 1572
Tainara LisboaNow 1588
If they win+16→ 1604
If they lose-16→ 1572

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1567 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1544 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.60
Sig. strikes / min
1.68
38%
Strike accuracy
43%
4.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.42
50%
Strike defense
49%
0.70
Takedown avg.
1.53
0%
Takedown accuracy
36%
68%
Takedown defense
58%
0.60
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Lucie PudilováTainara Lisboa
16001650202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (18%)
KO/TKO
3 (43%)
2 (12%)
Submission
3 (43%)
12 (71%)
Decision
1 (14%)

Combat Edge model read

Lucie Pudilová60%
Tainara Lisboa 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Lucie Pudilová a 60% favorite over Tainara Lisboa in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Tainara Lisboa's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1584 vs 1588), separated by just 4 points.

Tainara Lisboa enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Lucie Pudilová finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Tainara Lisboa 86%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.