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Combat Edge Intelligence

Lucie Pudilová vs Marion Reneau

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Marion Reneau
us

Marion Reneau

“The Belizean Bruiser”

9-8-1BantamweightUFC

1569Solid

Tale of the tape

17-12-0Record9-8-1
BantamweightDivisionBantamweight
5'8"Height5'6"
67"ReachTBD
135 lbsWeight135 lbs
SBG IrelandTeamElite Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lucie PudilováNow 1569
If they win+12→ 1581
If they lose-12→ 1557
Marion ReneauNow 1569
If they win+16→ 1585
If they lose-16→ 1553

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1567 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1611 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

3.60
Sig. strikes / min
3.20
38%
Strike accuracy
42%
4.07
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.52
50%
Strike defense
60%
0.70
Takedown avg.
0.62
0%
Takedown accuracy
64%
68%
Takedown defense
50%
0.60
Submission avg.
0.79

Trajectory

Lucie PudilováMarion Reneau
155016002020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

3 (18%)
KO/TKO
5 (56%)
2 (12%)
Submission
3 (33%)
12 (71%)
Decision
1 (11%)

Combat Edge model read

Lucie Pudilová54%
Marion Reneau 46%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Lucie Pudilová a 54% favorite over Marion Reneau in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1569 vs 1569), separated by just 0 points.

Marion Reneau enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Lucie Pudilová finishes 29% of wins inside the distance, Marion Reneau 89%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.