Combat Edge Intelligence

Lucio Linhares vs Rômulo Oliveira

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-8-0Record7-5-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height6'0"
TBDReach-
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Alliance Jiu-JitsuTeamW Thai

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lucio LinharesNow 1555
If they win+16→ 1571
If they lose-16→ 1539
Rômulo OliveiraNow 1549
If they win+24→ 1573
If they lose-24→ 1525

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1587 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1497 · 8 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.99
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
23%
Strike accuracy
TBD
3.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
35%
Strike defense
TBD
1.86
Takedown avg.
TBD
50%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.86
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Lucio LinharesRômulo Oliveira
1500155016002011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

6 (32%)
KO/TKO
4 (57%)
8 (42%)
Submission
1 (14%)
5 (26%)
Decision
2 (29%)

Combat Edge model read

Rômulo Oliveira60%
Lucio Linhares 40%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Rômulo Oliveira a 60% favorite over Lucio Linhares in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Lucio Linhares's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1555 vs 1549), separated by just 6 points.

Lucio Linhares finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Rômulo Oliveira 71%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.