Combat Edge Intelligence

Lucio Linhares vs Rousimar Palhares

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

19-8-0Record19-13-1
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
6'2"Height5'8"
TBDReachTBD
185 lbsWeight170 lbs
Alliance Jiu-JitsuTeamTeam Nogueira

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Lucio LinharesNow 1555
If they win+15→ 1570
If they lose-17→ 1538
Rousimar PalharesNow 1544
If they win+12→ 1556
If they lose-12→ 1532

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1587 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1543 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.99
Sig. strikes / min
1.75
23%
Strike accuracy
52%
3.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.04
35%
Strike defense
60%
1.86
Takedown avg.
3.93
50%
Takedown accuracy
46%
50%
Takedown defense
0%
1.86
Submission avg.
4.11

Trajectory

Lucio LinharesRousimar Palhares
1500155020112012201320142015201620172018201920202021202220232024

Win method breakdown

6 (32%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
8 (42%)
Submission
16 (84%)
5 (26%)
Decision
3 (16%)

Combat Edge model read

Lucio Linhares64%
Rousimar Palhares 36%Elo baseline: 52%

The Combat Edge model makes Lucio Linhares a 64% favorite over Rousimar Palhares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (52%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1555 vs 1544), separated by just 11 points.

Rousimar Palhares enters on a 5-fight loss streak.

Lucio Linhares finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Rousimar Palhares 84%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.