Combat Edge Intelligence

Lucio Linhares vs Yushin Okami

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Yushin Okami
jp

Yushin Okami

“Thunder”

37-15-0MiddleweightShooto

1667Good

Tale of the tape

19-8-0Record37-15-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
6'2"Height6'2"
TBDReach41,5"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
Alliance Jiu-JitsuTeamEXFIGHT

What's at stake

Yushin Okami is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +8 while a loss costs more — Lucio Linhares carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Lucio LinharesNow 1555
If they win+21→ 1576
If they lose-11→ 1544
Yushin OkamiNow 1667
If they win+8→ 1675
If they lose-16→ 1651

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1587 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1546 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

0.99
Sig. strikes / min
2.06
23%
Strike accuracy
38%
3.47
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.25
35%
Strike defense
61%
1.86
Takedown avg.
1.98
50%
Takedown accuracy
39%
50%
Takedown defense
84%
1.86
Submission avg.
0.48

Trajectory

Lucio LinharesYushin Okami
15001550160016502011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023

Win method breakdown

6 (32%)
KO/TKO
14 (39%)
8 (42%)
Submission
3 (8%)
5 (26%)
Decision
19 (53%)

Combat Edge model read

Yushin Okami60%
Lucio Linhares 40%Elo baseline: 66%

The Combat Edge model makes Yushin Okami a 60% favorite over Lucio Linhares in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (66%).

Yushin Okami holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1667 to 1555, a 112-point edge.

Lucio Linhares finishes 74% of wins inside the distance, Yushin Okami 47%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.