Luigi Fioravanti vs Ryan Gerena
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
26-15-0Record4-1-0
MiddleweightDivisionWelterweight
5'9"Height5'10"
TBDReach-
183 lbsWeight171 lbs
Flawless MMATeamVamos BJJ
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1598
If they lose-12→ 1574
If they win+24→ 1608
If they lose-24→ 1560
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1509 · 5 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Luigi FioravantiRyan Gerena
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Gerena60%
Luigi Fioravanti 40%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Gerena a 60% favorite over Luigi Fioravanti in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Luigi Fioravanti's way (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1586 vs 1584), separated by just 2 points.
Luigi Fioravanti enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Ryan Gerena enters on a 4-fight win streak.
Luigi Fioravanti finishes 65% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Gerena 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.