Luigi Vendramini vs Paddy Pimblett
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-3-0Record24-4-0
LightweightDivisionLightweight
5'10"Height5'10"
TBDReach 73"
155 lbsWeight155 lbs
Factory XTeamNext Generation UK
What's at stake
Paddy Pimblett is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +6 while a loss costs more — Luigi Vendramini carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+24→ 1625
If they lose-8→ 1593
If they win+6→ 1801
If they lose-18→ 1777
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1562 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1690 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Luigi VendraminiPaddy Pimblett
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Paddy Pimblett92%
Luigi Vendramini 8%Elo baseline: 75%
The Combat Edge model makes Paddy Pimblett a 92% favorite over Luigi Vendramini in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (75%).
Paddy Pimblett holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1795 to 1601, a 194-point edge.
Luigi Vendramini enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Luigi Vendramini finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Paddy Pimblett 75%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.