Luis Henrique vs Marcin Tybura
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-9-0Record27-12-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'3"
42.50Reach78"
253 lbsWeight247 lbs
Tata Fight Team· 1517 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamAnkos MMA· 1667 avg Elo · 5 rated
What's at stake
Marcin Tybura is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Luis Henrique carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+38→ 1521
If they lose-10→ 1473
If they win+5→ 1712
If they lose-19→ 1688
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1603 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1710 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Luis HenriqueMarcin Tybura
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Marcin Tybura77%
Luis Henrique 23%Elo baseline: 78%
The Combat Edge model makes Marcin Tybura a 77% favorite over Luis Henrique in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (78%).
Marcin Tybura holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1707 to 1483, a 224-point edge.
Luis Henrique enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Marcin Tybura enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Luis Henrique finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Marcin Tybura 63%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.