Combat Edge Intelligence

Luis Henrique vs Matthew O'Rourke

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →

Tale of the tape

16-9-0Record0-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height-
42.50Reach-
253 lbsWeight205 lbs
Tata Fight TeamTeamTeam Ryano Waterford

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Luis HenriqueNow 1483
If they win+23→ 1506
If they lose-25→ 1458
Matthew O'RourkeNow 1471
If they win+25→ 1496
If they lose-23→ 1448

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1602 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 1 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.81
Sig. strikes / min
TBD
44%
Strike accuracy
TBD
2.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
TBD
47%
Strike defense
TBD
3.09
Takedown avg.
TBD
37%
Takedown accuracy
TBD
50%
Takedown defense
TBD
1.03
Submission avg.
TBD

Trajectory

Luis HenriqueMatthew O'Rourke
1450150020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (25%)
KO/TKO
0 (0%)
8 (50%)
Submission
0 (0%)
4 (25%)
Decision
0 (0%)

Combat Edge model read

Matthew O'Rourke63%
Luis Henrique 37%Elo baseline: 48%

The Combat Edge model makes Matthew O'Rourke a 63% favorite over Luis Henrique in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Luis Henrique's way (48%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1483 vs 1471), separated by just 12 points.

Luis Henrique enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Luis Henrique finishes 75% of wins inside the distance.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.