Luis Henrique vs Matthew O'Rourke
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
Compare any two fighters →
Tale of the tape
16-9-0Record0-1-0
HeavyweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
6'2"Height-
42.50Reach-
253 lbsWeight205 lbs
Tata Fight Team· 1517 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamTeam Ryano Waterford· 1566 avg Elo · 3 rated
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+23→ 1506
If they lose-25→ 1458
If they win+25→ 1496
If they lose-23→ 1448
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1603 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1503 · 1 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Luis HenriqueMatthew O'Rourke
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Matthew O'Rourke53%
Luis Henrique 47%Elo baseline: 48%
The Combat Edge model makes Matthew O'Rourke a 53% favorite over Luis Henrique in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Luis Henrique's way (48%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1483 vs 1471), separated by just 12 points.
Luis Henrique enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Luis Henrique finishes 75% of wins inside the distance.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.