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Combat Edge Intelligence

Luis Henrique vs Ryan Spann

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Ryan Spann
us

Ryan Spann

“Superman”

24-12-0HeavyweightUFC

1696Good

Tale of the tape

16-9-0Record24-12-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'5"
42.50Reach79"
253 lbsWeight205 lbs
Tata Fight Team· 1521 avg Elo · 5 ratedTeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

Ryan Spann is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Luis Henrique carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Luis HenriqueNow 1483
If they win+37→ 1520
If they lose-11→ 1472
Ryan SpannNow 1696
If they win+5→ 1701
If they lose-19→ 1677

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1603 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1678 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.

1.81
Sig. strikes / min
3.11
44%
Strike accuracy
40%
2.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.92
47%
Strike defense
43%
3.09
Takedown avg.
1.21
37%
Takedown accuracy
0%
50%
Takedown defense
59%
1.03
Submission avg.
1.66

Trajectory

Luis HenriqueRyan Spann
15001600170020162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

4 (25%)
KO/TKO
7 (29%)
8 (50%)
Submission
14 (58%)
4 (25%)
Decision
3 (13%)

Combat Edge model read

Ryan Spann81%
Luis Henrique 19%Elo baseline: 77%

The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Spann a 81% favorite over Luis Henrique in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (77%).

Ryan Spann holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1696 to 1483, a 213-point edge.

Luis Henrique enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Luis Henrique finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Spann 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.