Luis Henrique vs Ryan Spann
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
16-9-0Record24-11-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'5"
42.50Reach79"
253 lbsWeight205 lbs
Tata Fight TeamTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Ryan Spann is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +5 while a loss costs more — Luis Henrique carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+38→ 1521
If they lose-10→ 1473
If they win+5→ 1715
If they lose-19→ 1691
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1602 · 6 fightsPre-fight Elo1675 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Luis HenriqueRyan Spann
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Ryan Spann84%
Luis Henrique 16%Elo baseline: 79%
The Combat Edge model makes Ryan Spann a 84% favorite over Luis Henrique in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (79%).
Ryan Spann holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1710 to 1483, a 227-point edge.
Luis Henrique enters on a 3-fight loss streak.
Ryan Spann enters on a 2-fight win streak.
Luis Henrique finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Ryan Spann 88%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.