Combat Edge Intelligence

Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira vs Marcos Brigagao

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

16-9-0Record17-8-0
HeavyweightDivisionHeavyweight
6'2"Height6'4"
42,5"ReachTBD
253 lbsWeight210 lbs
Tata Fight Team· 1516 avg Elo · 4 ratedTeamD.O METHODOLOGY

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Luis Henrique Barbosa de OliveiraNow 1569
If they win+12→ 1581
If they lose-12→ 1557
Marcos BrigagaoNow 1573
If they win+16→ 1589
If they lose-16→ 1557

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1555 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1569 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

1.81
Sig. strikes / min
3.07
44%
Strike accuracy
43%
2.22
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.27
47%
Strike defense
26%
3.09
Takedown avg.
0
37%
Takedown accuracy
0%
50%
Takedown defense
36%
1.03
Submission avg.
0

Trajectory

Luis Henrique Barbosa de OliveiraMarcos Brigagao
15501600202320242025

Win method breakdown

4 (25%)
KO/TKO
12 (71%)
8 (50%)
Submission
3 (18%)
4 (25%)
Decision
2 (12%)

Combat Edge model read

Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira52%
Marcos Brigagao 48%Elo baseline: 49%

The Combat Edge model makes Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira a 52% favorite over Marcos Brigagao in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Marcos Brigagao's way (49%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1569 vs 1573), separated by just 4 points.

Marcos Brigagao enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Luis Henrique Barbosa de Oliveira finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Marcos Brigagao 88%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.