Luis Hernandez vs Mike Ciesnolevicz
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-0-0Record19-4-0
MiddleweightDivisionLight Heavyweight
5'9"Height6'0"
73"ReachTBD
185 lbsWeight204 lbs
Freedom FightersTeamMiletich Martial Arts
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+24→ 1730
If they lose-24→ 1682
If they win+16→ 1720
If they lose-16→ 1688
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1522 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1538 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Luis HernandezMike Ciesnolevicz
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luis Hernandez67%
Mike Ciesnolevicz 33%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Luis Hernandez a 67% favorite over Mike Ciesnolevicz in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1706 vs 1704), separated by just 2 points.
Luis Hernandez enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Mike Ciesnolevicz enters on a 6-fight win streak.
Luis Hernandez finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Mike Ciesnolevicz 74%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.