Luis Hernandez vs Sedriques Dumas
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
9-0-0Record10-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'3"
73"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
Luis Hernandez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +11 while a loss costs more — Sedriques Dumas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+11→ 1734
If they lose-21→ 1702
If they win+21→ 1624
If they lose-11→ 1592
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1525 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1630 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Luis HernandezSedriques Dumas
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Luis Hernandez83%
Sedriques Dumas 17%Elo baseline: 67%
The Combat Edge model makes Luis Hernandez a 83% favorite over Sedriques Dumas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (67%).
Luis Hernandez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1723 to 1603, a 120-point edge.
Luis Hernandez enters on a 10-fight win streak.
Sedriques Dumas enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Luis Hernandez finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Sedriques Dumas 60%.
Sedriques Dumas carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.