Luis Hernandez vs Sedriques Dumas
Records, Elo, stats and the Combat Edge model read, side by side.
Combat Edge model read
Luis Hernandez64%
Sedriques Dumas 36%Elo baseline: 65%
The Combat Edge model makes Luis Hernandez a 64% favorite over Sedriques Dumas in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (65%).
Luis Hernandez holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1706 to 1602, a 104-point edge.
Luis Hernandez enters on a 9-fight win streak.
Sedriques Dumas enters on a 4-fight loss streak.
Luis Hernandez finishes 100% of wins inside the distance, Sedriques Dumas 60%.
Sedriques Dumas carries a 6-inch reach advantage.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.
Tale of the tape
9-0-0Record10-6-0
MiddleweightDivisionMiddleweight
5'9"Height6'3"
73"Reach79"
185 lbsWeight185 lbs
What's at stake
Luis Hernandez is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +17 while a loss costs more — Sedriques Dumas carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1723
If they lose-31→ 1675
If they win+21→ 1623
If they lose-11→ 1591
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1522 · 9 fightsPre-fight Elo1629 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Luis HernandezSedriques Dumas