Luis Pena vs Michael Trizano
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record10-3-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'3"Height5'11"
TBDReach71"
161 lbsWeight148 lbs
What's at stake
Michael Trizano is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Luis Pena carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+17→ 1656
If they lose-15→ 1624
If they win+15→ 1682
If they lose-17→ 1650
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1574 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1612 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Luis PenaMichael Trizano
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Luis Pena and Michael Trizano within a point of even.
Michael Trizano holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1667 to 1639, a 28-point edge.
Luis Pena finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Michael Trizano 50%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.