Luis Pena vs Steven Peterson
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record19-11-0
WelterweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'3"Height5'9"
TBDReach70"
161 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Top Team SunriseTeamFortis MMA
What's at stake
Luis Pena is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Steven Peterson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.
If they win+15→ 1654
If they lose-17→ 1622
If they win+13→ 1622
If they lose-11→ 1598
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1573 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1625 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Tracked UFC statistics may not cover a fighter's full career. Unavailable measurements are not zero.
Elo Trajectory
Luis PenaSteven Peterson
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Steven Peterson54%
Luis Pena 46%Elo baseline: 46%
The Combat Edge model makes Steven Peterson a 54% favorite over Luis Pena in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Luis Pena's way (46%).
Luis Pena holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1639 to 1609, a 30-point edge.
Steven Peterson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Luis Pena finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Steven Peterson 68%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.