Combat Edge Intelligence

Luis Pena vs Steven Peterson

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

Compare any two fighters →
Luis Pena
us

Luis Pena

“Violent Bob Ross”

12-6-0WelterweightAFS

1634Solid

Tale of the tape

12-6-0Record19-11-0
WelterweightDivisionFeatherweight
6'3"Height5'9"
TBDReach70"
161 lbsWeight145 lbs
American Top Team SunriseTeamFortis MMA

What's at stake

Luis Pena is the Elo favorite, so a win banks only +15 while a loss costs more — Steven Peterson carries the upset premium, with more to gain and less to lose.

Luis PenaNow 1634
If they win+15→ 1649
If they lose-17→ 1617
Steven PetersonNow 1609
If they win+13→ 1622
If they lose-11→ 1598

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1564 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1625 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

3.66
Sig. strikes / min
4.76
47%
Strike accuracy
40%
3.12
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
5.94
51%
Strike defense
53%
1.17
Takedown avg.
1.42
33%
Takedown accuracy
27%
48%
Takedown defense
64%
1.17
Submission avg.
0.71

Trajectory

Luis PenaSteven Peterson
160016501700202220232024

Win method breakdown

3 (25%)
KO/TKO
5 (26%)
5 (42%)
Submission
8 (42%)
4 (33%)
Decision
6 (32%)

Combat Edge model read

The Combat Edge model rates this a near coin-flip, splitting Luis Pena and Steven Peterson within a point of even.

Luis Pena holds the higher Combat Edge Elo at 1634 to 1609, a 25-point edge.

Steven Peterson enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Luis Pena finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Steven Peterson 68%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.