Luis Pena vs Tomáš Mudroch
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
12-6-0Record9-2-0
WelterweightDivisionLightweight
6'3"Height6'2"
TBDReach-
161 lbsWeight155 lbs
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+16→ 1656
If they lose-16→ 1624
If they win+16→ 1652
If they lose-16→ 1620
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1577 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1516 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Luis PenaTomáš Mudroch
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Tomáš Mudroch60%
Luis Pena 40%Elo baseline: 49%
The Combat Edge model makes Tomáš Mudroch a 60% favorite over Luis Pena in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Luis Pena's way (49%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1640 vs 1636), separated by just 4 points.
Luis Pena finishes 67% of wins inside the distance, Tomáš Mudroch 89%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.