Combat Edge Intelligence

Luis Saldaña vs Mads Burnell

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

18-7-1Record19-6-0
FeatherweightDivisionLightweight
5'11"Height5'8"
73"Reach68.00"
145 lbsWeight155 lbs
Fight ReadyTeamArte Suave Copenhagen

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Luis SaldañaNow 1656
If they win+16→ 1672
If they lose-16→ 1640
Mads BurnellNow 1656
If they win+12→ 1668
If they lose-12→ 1644

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1567 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1640 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

5.16
Sig. strikes / min
1.28
51%
Strike accuracy
42%
3.65
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
2.71
60%
Strike defense
51%
0.64
Takedown avg.
3.45
18%
Takedown accuracy
47%
44%
Takedown defense
22%
0.21
Submission avg.
0.38

Trajectory

Luis SaldañaMads Burnell
16501700202320242025

Win method breakdown

10 (56%)
KO/TKO
1 (5%)
6 (33%)
Submission
9 (47%)
2 (11%)
Decision
9 (47%)

Combat Edge model read

Mads Burnell62%
Luis Saldaña 38%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Mads Burnell a 62% favorite over Luis Saldaña in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Luis Saldaña's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1656 vs 1656), separated by just 0 points.

Luis Saldaña enters on a 2-fight win streak.

Mads Burnell enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Luis Saldaña finishes 89% of wins inside the distance, Mads Burnell 53%.

Luis Saldaña carries a 5-inch reach advantage.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.