Combat Edge Intelligence

Luis Santos vs Max Griffin

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Tale of the tape

65-12-1Record20-13-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'11"
TBDReach76"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top TeamTeamMMAGOLD Fight Team

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Luis SantosNow 1669
If they win+12→ 1681
If they lose-12→ 1657
Max GriffinNow 1669
If they win+12→ 1681
If they lose-12→ 1657

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1702 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
3.76
TBD
Strike accuracy
47%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
3.70
TBD
Strike defense
58%
TBD
Takedown avg.
1.28
TBD
Takedown accuracy
41%
TBD
Takedown defense
70%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.26

Trajectory

Luis SantosMax Griffin
16501700202420252026

Win method breakdown

38 (58%)
KO/TKO
9 (45%)
11 (17%)
Submission
2 (10%)
16 (25%)
Decision
9 (45%)

Combat Edge model read

Max Griffin70%
Luis Santos 30%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Max Griffin a 70% favorite over Luis Santos in a hypothetical meeting — an upset call against the Elo baseline, which leans Luis Santos's way (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1669 vs 1669), separated by just 0 points.

Luis Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.

Max Griffin enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Luis Santos finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Max Griffin 55%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.