Luis Santos vs Shido Boris Esperança
Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.
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Tale of the tape
65-12-1Record11-2-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
6'1"Height5'10"
TBDReach70.5"
170 lbsWeight170 lbs
American Top TeamTeamNew Generation MMA
What's at stake
The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.
If they win+12→ 1681
If they lose-12→ 1657
If they win+16→ 1687
If they lose-16→ 1655
Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.
Opponent quality
Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.
1530 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1525 · 10 fights
Tracked stat edges
Elo Trajectory
Luis SantosShido Boris Esperança
Win method breakdown
Combat Edge model read
Shido Boris Esperança73%
Luis Santos 27%Elo baseline: 50%
The Combat Edge model makes Shido Boris Esperança a 73% favorite over Luis Santos in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).
Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1669 vs 1671), separated by just 2 points.
Luis Santos enters on a 2-fight loss streak.
Luis Santos finishes 75% of wins inside the distance, Shido Boris Esperança 82%.
Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.