Combat Edge Intelligence

Luiz Azeredo vs Themba Gorimbo

Side-by-side comparison: records, physical profile, Combat Edge Elo, win methods, tracked UFC stats, and common opponents.

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Luiz Azeredo
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Luiz Azeredo

“The Joker”

15-10-0WelterweightBFC

1607Solid

Tale of the tape

15-10-0Record14-7-0
WelterweightDivisionWelterweight
5'10"Height6'1"
TBDReach77"
159 lbsWeight170 lbs
Chute BoxeTeamMMA Masters

What's at stake

The ratings are close, so the Elo swings are near-symmetric — the winner and loser trade a similar number of points either way.

Luiz AzeredoNow 1607
If they win+16→ 1623
If they lose-16→ 1591
Themba GorimboNow 1608
If they win+16→ 1624
If they lose-16→ 1592

Projected for a decision result at current ratings. A finish (KO/TKO or submission) scales the swing up by roughly 20–25%.

Opponent quality

Average pre-fight Elo of each fighter's latest 10 counted pro MMA opponents. Higher means the recent schedule was stronger; later opponent results do not rewrite the score.

1570 · 10 fightsPre-fight Elo1631 · 10 fights

Tracked stat edges

TBD
Sig. strikes / min
2.72
TBD
Strike accuracy
61%
TBD
Strikes absorbed / minLower is better
1.32
TBD
Strike defense
52%
TBD
Takedown avg.
5.07
TBD
Takedown accuracy
66%
TBD
Takedown defense
73%
TBD
Submission avg.
0.44

Trajectory

Luiz AzeredoThemba Gorimbo
16001650200920102011201220132014201520162017201820192020202120222023202420252026

Win method breakdown

8 (53%)
KO/TKO
2 (14%)
1 (7%)
Submission
6 (43%)
6 (40%)
Decision
6 (43%)

Combat Edge model read

Themba Gorimbo59%
Luiz Azeredo 41%Elo baseline: 50%

The Combat Edge model makes Themba Gorimbo a 59% favorite over Luiz Azeredo in a hypothetical meeting — in line with the Elo baseline (50%).

Their Combat Edge Elo ratings are nearly level (1607 vs 1608), separated by just 1 points.

Themba Gorimbo enters on a 3-fight loss streak.

Luiz Azeredo finishes 60% of wins inside the distance, Themba Gorimbo 57%.

Model estimate for a hypothetical bout, generated from Combat Edge Elo, form, and career stats. Not a betting recommendation.